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Red31
161911.3
19961.3
13576.7
Blue6
163614.7
22401.4
13610.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2250406080100316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.30.9
11.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1636
#15
14.70.1
8.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1357
#19
6.70.9
7.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2240
#44
1.40.1
-1.8-1.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1996
#28
1.30.9
1.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1361
#42
0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End