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Red0
22401.4
161911.3
115821.7
Blue19
22503.2
12454.8
163614.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1690406080100120140019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.1
10.69.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
1636
#15
14.70.7
6.57.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.31.2
3.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1245
#11
4.80.7
2.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2240
#44
1.41.9
1.4-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3.21.7
3.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End