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Red4
8774.4
19961.3
13750.8
Blue10
178911.7
4431.2
22519.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8240406080100120140410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
#18
4.40.5
5.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
11.70.9
9.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1996
#28
1.30.5
2.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
9.80.9
10.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1375
#36
0.80.5
2.11.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
443
#24
1.21.0
2.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End