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Red24
4431.2
22519.8
161911.3
Blue4
14106.5
12454.8
19961.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24130406080100120244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.30.1
11.912.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1410
#16
6.50.7
7.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.80.1
9.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1245
#11
4.80.7
4.73.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
443
#24
1.20.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1996
#28
1.30.7
2.01.3
Auto
Teleop
End