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Red32
13484.0
16913.2
19846.9
Blue4
18613.9
66211.6
13750.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116020406080324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.91.0
6.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
662
#12
11.60.8
8.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1348
#35
4.01.6
3.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1861
#40
3.90.8
4.73.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1691
#30
3.21.5
1.73.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1375
#36
0.80.9
1.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End