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Red2
13484.0
22604.6
178911.7
Blue4
17992.1
13576.7
22618.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22102030405024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.70.0
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
8.37.4
8.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2260
#43
4.63.9
4.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1357
#19
6.70.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1348
#35
4.00.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1799
#10
2.10.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End