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Red2
19875.7
13773.7
13033.5
Blue28
2073.9
161911.3
208315.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10320406080100120228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#21
5.70.6
2.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
15.42.0
2.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1377
#23
3.70.6
3.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
11.32.0
2.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1303
#34
3.50.6
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
207
#29
3.91.5
-0.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End