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Red2
18264.2
22503.2
12454.8
Blue18
208315.4
15157.6
2073.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1129020406080100120140218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1245
#11
4.80.3
5.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
15.40.2
15.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1826
#39
4.20.3
4.74.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1515
#20
7.60.1
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3.20.3
3.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
207
#29
3.90.1
3.83.7
Auto
Teleop
End