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Red23
199116.2
102716.7
1769.3
Blue16
19953.6
23015.8
9996.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24250102030405060702316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1027
#15
16.70.2
14.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
230
#35
15.80.5
12.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1991
#18
16.20.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
999
#44
6.20.6
7.26.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
176
#1
9.30.2
8.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
1995
#26
3.60.6
3.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End