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Red15
1784-3.7
1786.6
839-0.5
Blue4
199116.2
9053.7
1819.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815020304050607080154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#38
6.60.5
5.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
1991
#18
16.20.8
4.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
839
#11
-0.50.5
0.51.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
181
#42
9.00.8
7.26.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1784
#41
-3.70.5
2.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
905
#43
3.70.8
2.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End