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Red4
19953.6
1819.0
5492.9
Blue15
839-0.5
17332.9
1786.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13620406080100120140415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#42
9.00.6
5.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
178
#38
6.60.7
6.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1995
#26
3.60.6
1.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1733
#10
2.90.7
4.04.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
549
#12
2.90.4
4.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
839
#11
-0.50.7
-3.5-2.8
Auto
Teleop
End