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Red16
199116.2
9053.7
287-0.5
Blue2
5716.9
15710.5
16653.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24220406080100120140162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#18
16.20.4
17.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
157
#31
10.51.0
9.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
905
#43
3.70.6
4.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
571
#13
6.91.7
5.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
287
#45
-0.50.6
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1665
#27
3.91.7
7.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End