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Red66
102716.7
1778.7
20643.4
Blue5
839-0.5
16870.8
1786.6
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28420406080100120665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1027
#15
16.72.0
17.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
178
#38
6.60.2
6.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
177
#22
8.72.0
7.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1687
#28
0.80.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2064
#39
3.42.9
0.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
839
#11
-0.50.2
-0.5-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End