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Red20
13412.5
15103.3
12620.9
Blue44
204615.6
977.6
115523.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364701001502044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#56
20.90.9
26.926.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1155
#49
23.60.1
27.227.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1510
#44
3.30.9
4.53.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
2046
#11
15.60.1
10.910.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1341
#57
2.51.0
6.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
97
#18
7.60.1
7.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End