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Red46
3399.6
1563-5.3
55814.8
Blue4
34324.4
2137-6.2
7711.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14240406080100464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#16
14.81.5
14.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
343
#38
24.40.9
25.324.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
339
#63
9.61.5
8.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
771
#82
1.80.9
2.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1563
#84
-5.31.5
-6.8-5.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2137
#76
-6.20.9
-5.3-6.2
Auto
Teleop
End