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Red2
19986.2
50.3
9032.6
Blue32
20480.6
12547.5
3029.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1010020304050232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1998
#20
6.20.4
7.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
302
#29
9.41.8
6.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
903
#28
2.60.4
1.51.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1254
#25
7.51.1
8.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5
#14
0.30.6
1.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2048
#11
0.61.8
-6.1-4.3
Auto
Teleop
End