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Red2
17924.5
159219.5
127021.1
Blue30
619.8
155710.2
11444.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2514050100150200230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#11
24.51.8
14.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
1557
#12
10.21.2
1.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.11.8
-0.8-2.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
61
#39
9.81.2
7.18.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
19.51.8
9.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
1144
#28
4.41.2
6.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End