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Red118
10810.6
4088.8
190222.9
Blue8
16943.0
7447.4
23011.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151704060801001188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.98.5
9.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
230
#45
11.00.6
7.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
#26
10.68.5
5.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
744
#18
7.40.6
9.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
408
#31
8.88.5
1.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1694
#46
3.00.6
-1.4-2.0
Auto
Teleop
End