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Red22
8616.5
159219.5
10654.8
Blue8
1577.3
17442.8
4256.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2814050100150228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.3
8.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
157
#38
7.30.6
8.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
86
#21
16.50.3
9.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
425
#32
6.90.6
2.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1065
#14
4.80.3
8.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1744
#29
2.80.6
4.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End