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Red0
13685.7
18423.5
3128.5
Blue36
102713.9
17442.8
3426.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16220406080036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
#40
8.51.4
13.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
13.91.2
13.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1368
#33
5.71.4
2.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
342
#25
6.51.2
3.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1842
#35
3.51.4
0.4-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1744
#29
2.81.2
4.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End