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Red64
10654.8
18751.6
17924.5
Blue0
1062-1.6
1688.5
18423.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15350100150200640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#11
24.54.2
10.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
168
#23
8.50.4
4.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1065
#14
4.84.2
2.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1842
#35
3.50.4
0.0-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1875
#36
1.64.2
0.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1062
#48
-1.60.4
0.0-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End