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Red128
17924.5
21008.2
66510.0
Blue30
22788.7
8616.5
4088.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2534040608010012012830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#11
24.58.5
21.630.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
86
#21
16.50.2
13.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
665
#37
10.08.5
4.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
408
#31
8.80.2
7.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2100
#16
8.28.5
-0.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2278
#34
8.70.2
11.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End