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Red2
22788.7
3866.4
13901.5
Blue0
18895.9
1577.3
1062-1.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10120203040506020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2278
#34
8.78.7
8.70.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
157
#38
7.30.9
9.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
386
#17
6.40.7
3.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1889
#27
5.90.9
1.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1390
#43
1.50.7
6.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1062
#48
-1.60.9
-0.4-1.3
Auto
Teleop
End