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Red6
16111.5
20070.7
11394.2
Blue2
15395.4
19990.2
11275.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions690203040506062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1139
#40
4.20.0
4.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
5.80.6
4.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1539
#21
5.40.6
3.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2007
#29
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1999
#24
0.20.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End