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Red44
190223.7
8423.9
335-4.4
Blue2
9892.7
223717.3
178-2.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2728010204050607080442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#23
23.70.8
29.029.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
2237
#48
17.31.2
19.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
842
#38
3.90.8
4.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
989
#77
2.71.4
7.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
335
#76
-4.40.9
-4.6-3.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
178
#85
-2.61.2
0.6-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End