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Red140
8423.9
17323.3
177530.6
Blue4
8165.7
173029.1
1512.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524301001502002503003504001404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#42
30.66.0
31.537.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1730
#13
29.12.2
27.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
#2
23.34.5
15.720.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
816
#62
5.72.0
9.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
842
#38
3.94.5
3.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
151
#40
2.52.9
7.74.8
Auto
Teleop
End