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Red16
687.5
3088.7
46928.6
Blue256
49415.3
150324.4
102312.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4841010015020025016256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#22
28.60.8
29.428.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1503
#29
24.45.2
21.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
#4
8.70.8
9.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
494
#5
15.35.2
11.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
68
#18
7.50.7
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1023
#37
12.35.6
8.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End