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Red2
440-2.1
12434.1
8354.5
Blue16
22626.6
11891.6
10152.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011020304050216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
#55
4.50.7
6.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
226
#13
26.60.4
4.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
#51
4.10.7
2.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1015
#45
2.90.4
3.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
440
#53
-2.10.7
2.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1189
#19
1.60.4
3.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End