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Red32
3310.4
15281.2
4512.5
Blue4
13220.8
49415.3
2797.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1326020406080100324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#36
10.41.5
8.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
494
#5
15.31.7
14.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
451
#57
2.51.5
5.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
279
#40
7.11.7
11.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1528
#50
1.21.5
0.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1322
#33
0.81.7
-1.8-3.5
Auto
Teleop
End