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Red2
687.5
12434.1
8308.6
Blue16
16749.0
32612.2
49415.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16340406080100120216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#38
8.60.9
5.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
494
#5
15.31.3
12.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
#18
7.51.3
11.310.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
326
#10
12.21.3
8.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1243
#51
4.11.3
1.0-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1674
#11
9.01.3
10.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End