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Red2
21637.2
406-1.7
8943.5
Blue4
150410.6
440-2.1
4533.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919040608024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2163
#21
7.20.7
2.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
10.61.1
9.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
894
#35
3.50.7
7.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
453
#28
3.61.1
6.35.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
406
#59
-1.70.7
0.3-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
440
#53
-2.11.1
1.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End