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Red16
17165.8
4684.3
20221.4
Blue8
17106.3
2112-3.7
50121.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73750100150168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5.80.3
1.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
501
#20
21.91.7
33.732.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
468
#16
4.30.4
7.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1710
#17
6.32.1
-0.4-2.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1.40.4
2.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2112
#32
-3.72.1
0.1-2.0
Auto
Teleop
End