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Red10
2112-3.7
2881.9
110314.0
Blue2
16257.9
1770-1.2
4684.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18190406080102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1103
#26
14.00.6
16.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1625
#27
7.91.1
11.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
288
#33
1.90.8
4.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
468
#16
4.31.3
6.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2112
#32
-3.70.8
-2.0-2.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1770
#30
-1.21.3
-0.4-1.8
Auto
Teleop
End