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Red4
17566.9
2040-3.7
50121.9
Blue2
8589.5
15255.1
17813.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5319010015020042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#20
21.92.2
30.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
858
#28
9.51.8
13.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.93.7
15.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1525
#29
5.11.1
5.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2040
#15
-3.73.7
2.0-1.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
1781
#21
3.91.2
4.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End