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Red64
10005.3
7117.1
20472.2
Blue2
2112-3.7
8589.5
16257.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23180406080100120642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#4
17.13.4
16.119.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
858
#28
9.51.4
12.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5.33.4
7.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1625
#27
7.90.8
10.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2047
#12
2.22.1
-0.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2112
#32
-3.71.4
-3.9-5.3
Auto
Teleop
End