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Red16
155511.8
173027.7
23415.9
Blue19
46111.2
17478.7
102318.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623901001502002503001619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.8
29.028.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1023
#10
18.90.4
20.019.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
#3
15.90.8
17.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
461
#24
11.20.4
12.311.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1555
#17
11.80.8
13.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1747
#18
8.70.4
9.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End