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Red16
17416.6
57325.1
150122.7
Blue8
1353.8
21711.6
155511.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3918050100150200168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#7
25.11.4
21.219.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
1555
#17
11.81.1
3.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
22.71.7
6.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.8
135
#38
3.81.1
14.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1741
#28
6.61.4
8.67.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2171
#32
1.61.1
3.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End