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Red2
46111.2
21711.6
16466.3
Blue4
13193.9
8786.8
18722.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251905010015024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#24
11.21.1
8.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
878
#16
6.81.3
7.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#25
6.31.1
10.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1319
#23
3.91.3
5.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2171
#32
1.61.9
5.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1872
#12
2.21.3
6.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End