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Red32
8515.3
20816.4
15291.5
Blue2
11386.8
29210.2
17602.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290406080100120140322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#14
15.30.8
12.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
292
#21
10.21.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2081
#15
6.40.8
7.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1138
#39
6.81.3
13.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#33
1.50.8
1.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1760
#36
2.62.2
4.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End