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Red2
10181.8
18561.9
8786.8
Blue38
10244.4
19858.1
5544.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16240406080100120238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
878
#16
6.81.2
5.74.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1985
#26
8.10.7
11.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1856
#30
1.91.2
5.44.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
554
#37
4.61.2
4.15.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
#27
1.81.2
5.74.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1024
#19
4.41.2
8.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End