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Red16
17206.2
20816.4
4514.7
Blue2
16466.3
8297.2
20155.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31170406080100120140160162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#6
14.70.7
13.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
829
#29
7.20.8
4.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2081
#15
6.41.1
8.77.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1646
#25
6.30.8
9.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
6.21.1
6.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2015
#34
5.51.4
4.43.0
Auto
Teleop
End