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Red61
8786.8
150122.7
199010.9
Blue16
17602.6
10181.8
4514.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36120501001506116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.9
19.221.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
45
#6
14.70.0
13.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1990
#13
10.91.4
7.99.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1760
#36
2.60.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
878
#16
6.81.9
5.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1018
#27
1.80.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End