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Red8
19858.1
93118.5
1353.8
Blue18
20816.4
15291.5
1413.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366206080100120140818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#11
18.51.2
18.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
2081
#15
6.40.5
5.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1985
#26
8.11.2
9.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
141
#31
3.30.5
3.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
135
#38
3.81.5
5.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1529
#33
1.50.5
1.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End