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Red16
29210.2
11386.8
17478.7
Blue35
17206.2
21711.6
8786.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254501001501635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#21
10.20.4
10.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
878
#16
6.82.4
3.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1747
#18
8.70.4
2.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
6.22.4
1.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1138
#39
6.80.4
10.510.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2171
#32
1.61.5
1.63.1
Auto
Teleop
End