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Red76
23415.9
155511.8
173027.7
Blue4
8786.8
13193.9
17416.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52130406080100120140160764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.8
24.926.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
878
#16
6.80.9
7.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
#3
15.91.8
13.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
1741
#28
6.60.7
7.36.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1555
#17
11.81.8
9.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
1319
#23
3.90.9
3.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End