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Red76
93118.5
23415.9
18722.2
Blue17
17602.6
102318.9
46111.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27290204060807617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#11
18.53.4
12.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1023
#10
18.90.7
15.314.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
#3
15.93.9
9.613.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
461
#24
11.20.6
7.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1872
#12
2.23.9
6.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1760
#36
2.60.9
4.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End