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Red256
173027.7
155511.8
23415.9
Blue0
11897.4
93118.5
16612.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513801002003004002560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.73.8
25.729.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
931
#11
18.50.7
19.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
#3
15.93.8
13.917.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
166
#22
12.00.7
12.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1555
#17
11.83.8
9.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
7.40.7
8.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End