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Red12
17413.7
9319.7
9809.6
Blue100
172029.6
49424.0
190232.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2955010015020012100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
Unranked
9.71.0
16.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.1
1902
Unranked
32.82.4
22.825.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
980
Unranked
9.61.0
8.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.0
1720
Unranked
29.62.4
6.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1741
Unranked
3.71.0
6.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.3
494
Unranked
24.02.4
22.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End