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Red16
190232.8
46922.2
1739-6.9
Blue2
1529-2.7
21975.0
7121.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55230100150200162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
Unranked
32.81.8
25.223.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
71
Unranked
21.61.2
16.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
Unranked
22.21.8
32.330.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
2197
Unranked
5.01.4
10.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
Unranked
-6.91.8
-6.0-7.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1529
Unranked
-2.71.2
0.0-1.2
Auto
Teleop
End