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Red10
15551.5
49424.0
9319.7
Blue157
33059.9
21975.0
4522.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992015020025030035010157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
24.01.8
24.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.9
330
Unranked
59.93.5
62.966.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
931
Unranked
9.71.8
18.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.7
45
Unranked
22.43.5
16.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1555
Unranked
1.51.8
2.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2197
Unranked
5.04.7
6.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End